Only 6 teams have a legit shot to win the Super Bowl

After just one week of the NFL season, the Kansas City Chiefs are now the slight favorite to win the Super Bowl, and only five other teams have a legit shot to beat them.

Using Nate Silver’s “2017 NFL Predictions,” a model that rates each team and then projects how the regular season and playoffs will play out, we can get a better sense of which teams are the true Super Bowl contenders.

Heading into Week 2, the Chiefs (14%) are now the favorite thanks to their big win over the New England Patriots (10%), who are now second. The defending NFC champions Atlanta Falcons are also being given a 10% shot of winning it all.

If we use 5% as the cut off (1 in 20 shot), there are only six teams being given a legit shot to win the Super Bowl, with eight other teams just missing the cut.

Here are the 14 teams with at least a 3% chance to win the Super Bowl:


Mike Nudelman/Business Insider