NFL WEEK 14: Our official predictions for who wins this weekend

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Bob Leverone/AP

We’re entering the final month of regular-season football, which means games are simultaneously more – and less – important than ever.

For every important divisional game with playoff seeding implications, over these next four months we’ll also have games like the Jets vs. the 49ers (four wins between them!) and the Browns vs. the Bengals. Games, in other words, that couldn’t be more meaningless.

But why focus on the bad stuff? Week 14 is notable because it has a particularly great slate of primetime games, which has been a big criticism of the league this year.

Seriously, look at this:

Thursday: Chiefs (9-3) vs. Raiders (10-2), first place in the AFC West on the line.

Sunday: Cowboys (11-1) vs. Giants (8-4). Important playoff implications for the Giants, and the Cowboys are the best team in football.

Monday: Ravens (7-5) at Patriots (10-2). Bitter AFC rivals with plenty of recent history.

There’s an argument to be made that the league should get rid of Thursday night games, or maybe even Monday instead. But when the games are as good as these, you won’t hear anyone complaining.

LAST WEEK: 8-6

SEASON: 94-90-5


Oakland Raiders (+3.5) at Kansas City Chiefs (Thursday, 8:25 p.m. ET)

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Bob Leverone/AP

The best Thursday night game of the year and possibly the best game of the entire Week 14 slate. I like the Chiefs at home here mostly because of how bad the Raiders defense has been.

The pick: Chiefs -3.5


Denver Broncos (+1) at Tennessee Titans (Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET)

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Joe Mahoney/AP

Neither team can afford to lose this game, but I like the Broncos to win this one pretty handily.

The pick: Broncos +1


San Diego Chargers (+1.5) at Carolina Panthers (Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET)

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Streeter Lecka/Getty

Panthers bounce back after a disgraceful one (not just talking about Cam’s tie here) in Seattle.

The pick: Panthers -1.5


Houston Texans (+6) at Indianapolis Colts (Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET)

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Jeffrey Phelps/AP

We say this every year, but it’s no less true: the NFL should not let winning your division determine whether or not you make the playoffs. Either the Colts, Texans, or Titans will make the playoffs over some other, significantly better AFC team (either the Broncos, Steelers, or Ravens), and it’s extremely frustrating.

The pick: Texans +6


Cincinnati Bengals (-5) at Cleveland Browns (Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET)

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Patrick Smith/Getty

I really, really want to talk myself into the Browns picking up their first win of the year, but yeah, no.

The pick: Bengals -5


Pittsburgh Steelers (-2) at Buffalo Bills (Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET)

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Jared Wickerham/AP

Pittsburgh has won three straight, and they keep it rolling with a big win here.

The pick: Steelers -2


Arizona Cardinals (+1) at Miami Dolphins (Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET)

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Nick Wass/AP

I don’t believe in either of these teams, but think the Cards are slightly better despite their worse record.

The pick: Cards +1


Chicago Bears (+7.5) at Detroit Lions (Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET)

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Butch Dill/AP

Not overthinking this one!

The pick: Lions -7.5


Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars (Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET)

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Butch Dill/AP

Blake Bortles has more career pick-sixes (11) than wins (10). A good rule is to never bet on that.

The pick: Vikings -3.5


Washington Redskins (-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET)

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Michael Ainsworth/AP

Kirk Cousins is way better than Carson Wentz, and with a line this close sometimes that’s all you need.

The pick: Washington -1


New York Jets (+2.5) at San Francisco 49ers (Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET)

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Charles Rex Arbogast/AP

My god this is a depressing one. How will the Jets figure out a way to lose it?

The pick: Jets +2.5


New Orleans Saints (+2.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)

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Gregory Bull/AP

Still not entirely sure why I don’t yet believe in the Jameis and the Bucs, but if they can win this one (as they should) I think I’ll finally hop on the bandwagon.

The pick: Bucs -2.5


Seattle Seahawks (-2.5) at Green Bay Packers (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)

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Stephen Brashear/AP

Every outcome feels possible in this one. A Seahawks blowout win, a Packers blowout win, or an OT game. Ultimately the Seahawks are more talented, and that gets it done for them.

The pick: Seahawks -2.5


Atlanta Falcons (-6) at Los Angeles Rams (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)

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Steven Senne/AP

The Rams are 4-8 with four weeks to go. Let’s take a quick look at their remaining schedule, and make some off-the-cuff predictions:

Home vs. Falcons – Loss

Away vs. Seahawks – Loss

Home vs. 49ers – Win

Home vs. Cardinals – Loss

Hey, congrats to Jeff Fisher! He won’t finish 7-9 this year. He’ll finish 5-11.

The pick: Falcons -6


Dallas Cowboys (-3) at New York Giants (Sunday, 8:30 p.m. ET)

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Stephen Brashear/AP

I’ve taken the Giants just about every week of the the season and just about every week of the season (regardless of result) they’ve let me down against the spread. So screw it, I’m taking the Cowboys.

The pick: Cowboys -3


Baltimore Ravens (+7) at New England Patriots (Monday, 8:30 p.m. ET)

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Jim Rogash/Getty

These teams hate each other, and the Ravens are probably the only team right now that can go into Foxborough and believe they’re going to win. But I don’t think they will on Monday night.

The pick: Pats -7


Now check out this week’s power rankings…

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Scott Halleran/Getty

NFL POWER RANKINGS: Where all 32 teams stand heading into Week 14 >