Exports growth in Singapore is expected to have slowed sharply last month from October’s double-digit pace, a Reuters poll found on Friday, dragged by a high base effect from a year ago and a tapering in sales of electronics.
Non-oil domestic exports in November were forecast to have risen 5.5 percent from a year earlier, according to the median in the survey of 10 economists, cooling off a 20.9 percent surge the month before.
External demand remains robust, though the headline numbers are expected to show a less dramatic increase in part because of last year’s high base.
On a month-on-month and seasonally adjusted basis, non-oil domestic exports were seen up 0.6 percent, the poll found, compared with a 12.5 percent rise in October.
The annual jump in October was the biggest in 2-1/2-years, thanks to extended strength in global demand.
The exports boom has benefited Singapore and other trade-dependent Asian economies, particularly for electronics products and components such as semiconductors.
However, electronics exports grew modestly at 4.5 percent in October.
With the exception of a “one-off blip” in September when it contracted a revised 8.0 percent, exports of electronics grew at a double-digit pace for most of this year.
”Even as overall electronic exports have softened, demand for integrated circuits, disk media and PCs remains strong,” Moody’s said in a research note to its clients.
“Although external demand is likely to remain firm, a high base from a year earlier is likely to inhibit export growth in coming months,” it said.