- Business Insider
Elon Musk’s plans for the coming decade are nothing short of ambitious.
Among other things, Tesla‘s CEO has promised to dramatically increase car production, launch several completely new cars, and conquer self-driving vehicles by 2020.
Here’s a closer look at what exactly Musk has promised Tesla will accomplish during the next few years.
Complete its giant Gigafactory.
- Tesla Motors
Musk’s giant battery factory in Nevada is key to Tesla’s future because it is expected to help the company cut the cost of its batteries by as much as 30%.
The Gigafactory, about 5.5 million square feet, would help the company dramatically cut the cost of its batteries once it’s fully operational in 2018 by “using economies of scale, innovative manufacturing, reduction of waste, and the simple optimization of locating most manufacturing process under one roof.”
In fact, Tesla has said it will create more battery cells at the Gigafactory than all of the lithium-ion battery makers combined did in 2013.
Bring the Model 3 into production.
The batteries created at the Gigafactory will enable Tesla to produce its first mass-market car, the Model 3.
It will be priced at about $35,000 and have a range of more than 200 miles per charge.
Tesla started production of the Model 3 earlier this month and plans to begin its first deliveries at a company event on July 28.
Launch a compact SUV dubbed the Model Y by the end of 2019 or early 2020.
In July 2016, Musk confirmed that Tesla plans to bring a new compact SUV to market, dubbed the Model Y.
But it wasn’t until this May when a timeline for the vehicle was revealed.
Musk said during the company’s first-quarter earnings call in May that the Model Y will arrive by either late 2019 or 2020. He also revealed during the call that the vehicle will be built on a separate platform than the Model 3.
Tesla will reveal an electric semi truck in September.
Musk first announced that the company was working on a Tesla Semi last August, in his Master Plan Part Deux.
In June, though, Musk revealed that Tesla is working with major trucking companies to design the company’s first all-electric semi-truck.
“We are showing off a working prototype at the end of September, but we have shown it to people who buy heavy duty trucking and they all love it. They just want to know how many can they buy and how soon,” Musk said during Tesla’s annual shareholder meeting.
While we will get a look at the electric semi in a few months, it’s still not clear when the truck will actually be available.
Reveal an electric pickup truck for consumers before the close of 2019.
- Kevork Djansezian / Stringer / Getty Images
Musk said in April that Tesla would reveal its semi truck in September and that its consumer pickup truck would be revealed in 18 to 24 months. This means Tesla is aiming to unveil its all-electric pickup truck sometime between October 2018 and April 2019.
Increase the range of Tesla cars to 1,000 kilometers per charge.
Tesla’s cars already boast the best range on the market, but Musk has said he aims to dramatically increase how far Tesla’s cars travel on a single charge.
“The record right now for the Model S is 800 kilometers (497 miles). That is the furthest that anyone has driven a Model S… we are pretty close,” Musk told the Danish news site Borsen in September 2015. “My guess is probably we could break a 1,000 kilometers (621 miles) within a year or two. I’d say 2017 for sure.”
Musk added that by 2020 Tesla will likely be able to make its cars go as far as 745 miles per charge.
It should be noted that while the record for hypermiling in a Tesla is about 560 miles, the official range for Tesla’s Model S P100D is about 315 miles per charge, according to ratings by the Environmental Protection Agency.
Make its cars fully autonomous.
- Benjamin Zhang/Business Insider
Another bold promise Musk has made for Tesla is that its cars will be autonomous before 2020.
Tesla began rolling out its new Enhanced Autopilot hardware in October 2016. Musk said at the time that the hardware would enable full autonomy once the software was ready.
However, Musk has said it’s unlikely regulators will have laws in place by the time Tesla’s autonomous cars are ready, so drivers may have to wait a little longer before getting to go completely hands-free.
While the company plans to do a demo drive in a Tesla from LA to New York City by the end of this year in self-driving mode, Musk said during a TED Talk in April that it would likely be 2019 before a driver could take a nap behind the wheel of a Tesla.
Produce 500,000 cars per year by 2018.
- Benjamin Zhang/Business Insider
To help put this in perspective, consider that Tesla only delivered a little more than 76,000 vehicles in 2016.
Tesla acknowledges this is an aggressive target, but it’s not shying away from the challenge.
“Increasing production five fold over the next two years will be challenging and will likely require some additional capital, but this is our goal and we will be working hard to achieve it,” the company said in its letter to investors in 2016.
Produce 1 million cars by 2020.
- YouTube/Tesla Motors
As if producing half a million cars by 2018 were not enough, Musk wants to kick it up a notch and make some one million cars per year by 2020.
Because demand for the Model 3 was greater than expected, forcing Tesla to reassess its goals.
The company had about 325,000 reservations for the Model 3 during the first week of taking deposits.
While it’s no doubt an ambitious plan, Musk has said he is confident Tesla can achieve such aggressive growth.
Double the number of Superchargers by 2018.
With more Tesla vehicles on the road, Musk also aims to build out Tesla’s charging infrastructure.
During the Model 3 unveiling in March 2016, Musk said the company plans to increase its Supercharging network. Superchargers, of course, are the electric filling stations that are capable of charging a Tesla vehicle enough to give it almost 200 miles of range in just 30 minutes.
Musk said during the Model 3 event that Tesla would double the number of its Superchargers worldwide from some 3,600 to more than 7,000 by 2018. However, in April Tesla said that by the end of this year it aims to have 10,000 superchargers worldwide, which means the company is ahead of schedule.
At the time of writing this article, Tesla had already increased the number of Superchargers to just over 6,000 around the world.
Turn Tesla into an energy company.
- Reuters/Patrick Fallon
Musk doesn’t just want Tesla to make electric cars – he also wants the company to produce the energy that powers his cars.
In November, Tesla acquired Solar City, which is a solar power company founded by Musk’s cousin, Lyndon Rive.
Musk has made it clear that his long-term vision for Tesla is for it to become a full-service sustainable energy company.
“The opportunity here is to have a highly innovative sustainable energy company that answers the whole energy question from power generation and storage to transport,” Musk told reporters during a call shortly after the announcement in June 2016.
“We are a sustainable energy company, this is, broadly speaking, right in line with that. In order to solve the sustainable energy problem you need generation, storage, and electric cars,” he said.
In October 2016, right before the SolarCity acquisition was voted on by shareholders, Musk revealed the Tesla solar roof. The solar roof is composed of solar shingles and is essentially Tesla’s energy generation solution.
The company began taking orders for its solar roof, which prices at about $21.85 per square foot, in May.
The company will reveal details about its Tesla Network, which is a mobility service, sometime this year.
- Asa Mathat | D: All Things Digital
In July 2016, Musk said in his Master Plan Part Deux that Tesla plans to roll out a mobility service.
At the time, Musk said that once Tesla vehicles are fully autonomous, the company will set up a shared fleet program that enables owners to make money off their car by letting other people use it.
“You will also be able to add your car to the Tesla shared fleet just by tapping a button on the Tesla phone app and have it generate income for you while you’re at work or on vacation, significantly offsetting and at times potentially exceeding the monthly loan or lease cost,” he said.
In October, the company said owners would only be able to use their vehicle on its ride-hailing network for revenue purposes, and that it would reveal more details about Tesla’s network this year.