- Brendan McDermid/REUTERS
Donald Trump secured a massive victory during last week’s New York primary, picking up almost all of the delegates up for grabs.
But Trump will have his sights set on an even bigger prize on Tuesday.
And it should be easily attainable.
During Tuesday’s primaries, 118 bound delegates will be at stake in addition to 54 unbound delegates from Pennsylvania.
Along with Pennsylvania, voters in Connecticut, Delaware, Rhode Island, and Maryland go to the polls.
The Northeastern and mid-Atlantic primary day encapsulates an area that Trump has dominated. And polls suggest he is poised for a lot more winning.
In Pennsylvania, where 17 bound delegates will be awarded to the statewide winner, Trump is polling with a lead of more than 20 points over Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas. Cruz was mathematically eliminated last week from obtaining the needed 1,237 delegates to clinch the Republican nomination before the party’s July convention.
The unbound delegates from the state are elected by congressional district, and with Trump leading in polls statewide, Trump supporters should have an advantage when it comes to selecting pro-Trump delegates at the ballot.
Another winner-take-all state is Delaware, where 16 delegates are up for grabs. Polling in the state has been sparse, but one survey released Friday showed Trump with a commanding 37-point lead over Gov. John Kasich of Ohio.
And though Connecticut is not a winner-take-all state, Trump can claim all 28 delegates at stake if he wins each of the state’s five congressional districts and finishes above 50% statewide. Polling on average shows Trump with nearly 53% support in the state, ahead of Kasich by roughly 27 points.
Trump will have a slightly tougher time pulling out the full slate of delegates in Rhode Island and Maryland, but he should still find plenty of success.
- AP Photo/Alex Brandon
Rhode Island holds a proportional primary and awards 19 delegates. Two recent surveys show Trump with near 60% support in the state, with the Manhattan billionaire holding a nearly 30-point lead over Kasich. He pulled out a huge victory in bordering Massachusetts last month, and he is leading big in Connecticut.
Maryland, where he holds a 21-point lead over Kasich, awards three delegates to the winner of each of its eight congressional districts. The remaining 14 delegates will go to the statewide winner, which looks increasingly likely to be Trump.
“None of these states are particularly amenable to the ‘Never Trump’ movement,” wrote Tom Jensen, the director of Public Policy Polling, in summarizing the firm’s polls from three of Tuesday’s states.
“Trump has the highest favorability rating of the GOP candidates in each state, and also handily wins head to head match ups with Cruz and Kasich in all three states,” he added. “One thing that comes across in all these places is how unpopular Cruz is – he’s way under water even with Republican primary voters.”
As MSNBC’s Steve Kornacki projected ahead of the New York primary, Trump will need to pull out at least 100 of the 118 bound delegates for the day to be considered a success. That looks to be easily within his reach.
Also before Trump won New York, the renowned statistician Nate Silver from the data-journalism website FiveThirtyEight projected that Trump would need to win 103 delegates on Tuesday to stay on path for the needed 1,237. That doesn’t take into consideration, however, how many pro-Trump unbound delegates are elected in Pennsylvania.