- REUTERS/Darren Staples
Survation poll: Labour 44% / Conservatives 41%. This would result in Labour winning the most seats in a general election. The Tories continue to lose support as May’s leadership hangs in the balance.
LONDON – Jeremy Corbyn’s momentum shows no signs of slowing down as another opinion poll says Labour would win the most seats if another general election took place today.
The poll published by Survation – one of the very few pollsters to point towards a hung parliament in this month’s general election – puts Labour three percentage points ahead of Theresa May’s Conservatives.
Labour is on 44%, according to Survation, which is an increase of three percentage points compared to the general election result. The Tories, on the other hand, are down three percentage points to 41%.
Here are the results of Survation’s voter intention survey in full:
LABOUR 44% (+3)
CONSERVATIVES 41% (-3)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 6% (-2)
UKIP 2% (=)
OTHER 8 (+2)
If the British public voted this way in a general election, Labour would win more seats than any other party but 18 seats short of forming a parliamentary majority, according to Electoral Calculus.
Here’s the House of Commons would look in this scenario:
- Electoral Calculus
44% is the second highest vote share Labour has had in an opinion poll since February 2013. Its highest vote share came in a shocking Survation poll published just days before the June 8 election, which put Labour on 45%.
It’s yet more encouraging news for Corbyn, who has managed to turn around both the party’s and his own ratings in just a matter of weeks. A YouGov survey published last week said Corbyn’s personal approval ratings had gone from -42% in April to 0% immediately following the election. May’s ratings have gone in the opposite direction. The PM had a net rating of -35% in the same YouGov poll, having been rated +10% in April after she announced the election.
It’s been quite the turnaround for Corbyn, who not only is now the country’s most popular party leader but a Labour leader with the support of colleagues that not so long ago were desperate to see him resign. Labour MP John Woodcock, for example, who has been one of Corbyn’s most vocal critics, said that he had got Corbyn “totally wrong” in an interview with his local newspaper the North West Evening Mail last week.
May, on the other hand, is fighting for her political life, with her credibility at an all-time low. The prime minister’s former cabinet colleague George Osborne described her as a “dead woman walking” following the election and her handling of the Grenfell Tower tragedy has only led to more questions being asked about her leadership credentials.