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Data compiled by BAML shows that an imminent recession is now the third-most-pronounced risk to credit investors.
Weaker economic data and growing uncertainty around company debt has made the yield curve inversion more serious, according to Morgan Stanley.
When "the yield curve" inverts in the bond market, recessions typically follow.
Global debt has swelled to $244 trillion, the Institute of International Finance says. Meanwhile, the ratio of debt to GDP worldwide hit a record.