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An inverted US yield curve and negative bond yields in Europe could signal an impending recession.
So much for a ‘Santa rally’: Trump’s trade war is sending the S&P 500 toward its worst December since 2002
US-China trade-war tensions heightened over the weekend, sending global stocks lower. Weak data in China, Japan, and Germany also weighed on sentiment.
Global equities took a hit Wednesday as trade-war jitters gripped financial markets. The Nasdaq and the S&P 500 tumbled more than 3.2% each Tuesday.
There's a darkening tone in bond markets a troubling sign for the US economy. Yield curves are inverting and flattening, stoking recessionary fears.
A major correction in the asset markets has been building for a while. There have been 10 years of economic growth since the great financial crisis of 2008, and a bull market in stocks of pretty much the same length.
Gluskin Sheff argues that it's "too late" in the cycle to invest once the curve goes to zero.
Look no further than the $15 trillion US government bond market for evidence investors are not convinced the Federal Reserve can keep raising interest rates at the recent clip without derailing the economy, which remains fragile despite strong headline numbers.
If the yield curve is not an indicator of impending doom, why is everybody talking about the yield curve so much?
Although some smart famous people think the yield curve is broken, there are some equally smart not-so-famous people who are watching it very carefully.
Wall Street’s favorite recession gauge is flashing yellow again — and not everyone thinks it’s a false alarm
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has argued the narrowing gap between long- and short-term borrowing costs is nothing to worry about. Some of his colleagues, including St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, disagree.
ANALYSIS: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell downplayed the threat of a trade war to the US economy. He also dismissed a key recession signal emerging from the bond market yield spreads, despite its historical reliability.