- Marty Skovlund Jr., a US veteran of Afghanistan, went back to the country as part of a reporting project for Task & Purpose.
- Skovlund interviewed ranking and junior members of the Afghan and US militaries, and saw how the war is developing first hand.
- As someone with experience in the war, he believes that the war will last for much longer and get bloodier, but that he is “cautiously optimistic” about Afghanistan.
Marty Skovlund Jr., a veteran of the 1st Ranger Battalion, recently made a trip back to Afghanistan, where he was deployed to in the aftermath of 9/11.
He wrote about the trip – his first to Afghanistan in nearly eight years – for Task & Purpose. While in Afghanistan, Skovlund interviewed servicemen of the Afghan military, intelligence officials, and even a US brigadier general.
He came to a sobering conclusion for all involved in the war – the US won’t be leaving anytime soon. Skovlund also predicts that next year, 2018, will “probably be the bloodiest to date.”
“The United States leaving Afghanistan is about as likely as our leaving Germany, Japan, Korea, Italy, or most of the other 138 countries around the world where we maintain a military presence,” Skovlund writes.
Skovlund notes that the Afghan military has made some progress. Government-controlled parts of the country increased from 63% earlier this year to 68% in November and, Skovlund writes, the Afghan military’s Operation Khalid “resulted in the deaths of over 100 Taliban commanders and 3,000 militants by the end of the summer.”
Still, the Taliban has shifted tactics, opting instead to guard their drug producing labs and conduct attacks on government positions. There is also the complication that ISIS adds to the region, with its affiliate ISIS-K.
But Skovlund says he is “cautiously optimistic” about Afghanistan.
“The violence will get worse before it gets better, and we won’t get the win we may have expected when we first invaded years ago,” he writes.
“It will take decades; the results we hope to achieve are not possible without a long term commitment. But one thing seems clear: Afghans are motivated to take back their country, and talented enough to pull it off.”