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Our college picks are on a roll!
After going 6-1 in Week 10 of the college football season, we hammered the sportsbooks again last week with yet another 6-1 performance, thanks in large part to contrarian plays like Miami and Mississippi State.
Hopefully, this hot streak of 12-2 means some of you are making money out there, and if you haven’t cashed in yet, start thinking about it soon – streaks this scorching can only last so long.
Let’s get to our best seven bets of the college football weekend and keep the money rolling.
All lines are courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook.
LAST WEEK: 6-1 OVERALL: 46-31
USC (-16) over UCLA
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In a matchup with the two top quarterback prospects to potentially enter the 2018 NFL Draft, we’re backing the Trojans to keep rolling through the competition. Josh Rosen will definitely have a chance to secure a backdoor cover with a line this long, but USC have been playing like that have a score to settle ever since their embarrassing loss to Notre Dame, and I don’t expect them to let up now.
Cal (+15.5) over Stanford
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California has not had the season they dreamed of having back in August, but at 5-5 they are still alive to make a bowl game should they secure another win. I don’t think it happens here, but I think the Golden Bears defense can play sell out defense to prevent Bryce Love from running all over them and score enough points to keep this game within two touchdowns.
Tennessee (+16) over LSU
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After fans had been calling for the firing of Butch Jones for almost the entire season, the Volunteers head coach was finally let go after last week’s 50-17 loss to Mizzou. LSU is a strong team, but I love backing a team who recently dropped a coach that they felt was holding them back. The Volunteers are at home and fans will be locked in and looking to get the post-Jones era off to a good start.
Illinois (+41) over Ohio State
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Heading into last weekend, underdogs of 30 points or more were a whopping 54-23 against the spread for the season, covering at an astounding rate of 70%, and then added yet another win to that total when Kansas covered as 33-point dogs against the Texas Longhorns. This week, Illinois is the longest dog on the board, and we’re taking them against an Ohio State team that might be looking forward to next week’s rivalry game against Michigan.
Kansas (+35) over Oklahoma
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Another 30-point underdog that we’re blindly backing. Please note, I’m well aware that both of these bets look brutal on paper. But when a trend is firing at 70% and it’s something as simple and logical as “bet the huge underdogs” you don’t question it. Just close your eyes and make the bet. That said, if you’re the type of casual bettor that is betting on games strictly to make them more fun to watch, maybe avoid these two.
Michigan (+7.5) over Wisconsin
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I want Wisconsin to win out so there is not another awful controversy regarding which Big Ten team, if any, deserves to make the playoff, but unfortunately this is not a good spot for the Badgers. Michigan is used to being a powerhouse team, and is likely relishing in the opportunity to play the role of the underdog. The over/under for this game is set at 40, meaning that Vegas is predicting something close to a 24-17 Badgers victory, and I think Michigan is going to score a bit more than that.
Virginia (+19) over Miami
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Similar to Michigan, I dearly want Miami to run the table and turnover chain their way all the way to the National Championship. But this is a trap game if I’ve ever seen one. I don’t mean to doubt the magic of the turnover chain, but the Hurricanes streak of four straight games with four turnovers just seems too difficult to keep up. I don’t think the Cavaliers win this game, or necessarily even keep it that close, but I think they find a way to get within the number.
Now check out all the best bets that Week 11 has to offer
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