MLB POWER RANKINGS: Where every team stands after 2 months

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Paul Beaty/AP

The Major League Baseball season is now two months old, and while some teams are pushing hard for the postseason, many others are starting to look towards the trade deadline and are preparing to sell off the parts of a failed season.

So let’s take a look at where all 30 teams stand and how they are projected to do the rest of the season.

Using two projection systems from Baseball Prospectus (PECOTA) and FanGraphs and odds to win the World Series from Sportsbook – think of this as how much confidence the public has in each team – we have developed a formula to rank all 30 teams.


No. 30  Atlanta Braves (16-41)

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Arodys Vizcaino leads team with 0.8 WAR.
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David Banks/Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 30

Projected wins (Fangraphs):58

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 0.0%

Odds to win the World Series: 2000/1

One thing to know: The Braves are in full rebuilding mode, so expect them to be active at the trade deadline. Ryan Fagan of the Sporting News speculates on which players could be moved, starting with Julio Teheran and Gordon Beckham.


No. 29  Cincinnati Reds (21-36)

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Zack Cozart leads team with 1.8 WAR.
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Dustin Bradford/Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 29

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 65

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 0.1%

Odds to win the World Series: 1000/1

One thing to know: Nick Cafardo on Jay Bruce: “The Reds are open for business and Bruce is available. They want quite a bit for him, which will limit the interest, but there are plenty of teams (including the Royals, Phillies, Cardinals, and Mets) looking for a lefthanded bat.”


No. 28  Minnesota Twins (16-40)

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Eduardo Nunez leads team with 1.4 WAR.
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Hannah Foslien/Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 27

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 65

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 0.0%

Odds to win the World Series: 500/1

One thing to know: Utility infielder Eduardo Nunez is hitting .335 with 7 home runs and 12 stolen bases. However, manager Paul Molitor is not sure he is ready to be an everyday player.


No. 27  San Diego Padres (24-35)

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Drew Pomeranz leads team with 1.7 WAR.
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Denis Poroy/Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 25

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 70

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 0.4%

Odds to win the World Series: 500/1

One thing to know: The Padres went all-in prior to the 2015 season, a winter of spending that included a $75 million contract for James Shields. The Padres finally turned the page from those decisions, trading Shields to the White Sox. The Padres will end up paying $48 million for 44 starts from Shields.


No. 26  Milwaukee Brewers (26-31)

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Jonathan Lucroy leads team with 2.3 WAR.
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Dylan Buell/Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 28

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 73

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 1.2%

Odds to win the World Series: 400/1

One thing to know: Ryan Braun’s latest health issue is a stiff neck and it could hurt the Brewers’ hopes of trading their star outfielder.


No. 25  Philadelphia Phillies (28-30)

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Aaron Nola leads team with 2.2 WAR.
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Mitchell Leff/Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 26

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 70

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 1.4%

Odds to win the World Series: 100/1

One thing to know: Ryan Howard and his $25 million salary are starting to lose playing time to rookie Tommy Joseph.


No. 24  Oakland A’s (25-32)

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Rich Hill leads team with 2.0 WAR.
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Mitchell Layton/Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 18

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 77

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 2.7%

Odds to win the World Series: 100/1

One thing to know: Pitcher Rich Hill could be moved at the trade deadline. However, he is now dealing with an injured groin which could hurt both the A’s’ playoff hopes and they chances of trading Hill.


No. 23  Arizona Diamondbacks (25-35)

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Zack Greinke leads team with 1.7 WAR.
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Chris Carlson/AP

Ranking one month ago: 22

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 74

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 1.5%

Odds to win the World Series: 70/1

One thing to know: It has been a rough start to the season for the Diamondbacks. However, they have played better lately, including a win over the Cubs and ending Jake Arrieta’s impressive undefeated streak.


No. 22  Colorado Rockies (26-31)

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Nolan Arenado leads team with 2.7 WAR.
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Brian Bahr

Ranking one month ago: 23

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 75

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 3.8%

Odds to win the World Series: 100/1

One thing to know: All-Star outfielder Carlos Gonzalez is being mentioned in trade rumors with the Red Sox being one team that could be looking to add another big bat.


No. 21  Los Angeles Angels (26-31)

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Mike Trout leads team with 3.4 WAR.
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Elsa/Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 21

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 76

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 2.8%

Odds to win the World Series: 50/1

One thing to know: Pitcher CJ Wilson hasn’t played all season but was expected to be back soon. However, he seems to have suffered a setback while rehabbing and the rest of this season is now in doubt.


No. 20  New York Yankees (27-30)

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Masahiro Tanaka leads team with 1.8 WAR.
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Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 24

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 80

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 12.9%

Odds to win the World Series: 45/1

One thing to know: Despite looking like a long-shot to make the playoffs and having several relievers other teams would likely be interested in, Jon Heyman says the Yankees are not looking to sell players at the trade deadline.


No. 19  Kansas City Royals (30-27)

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Lorenzo Cain leads team with 1.7 WAR.
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Al Bello/Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 17

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 79

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 12.7%

Odds to win the World Series: 25/1

One thing to know: It has been an up-and-down season for the Royals. They started out under .500 through their first 37 games. Then they got hot, winning 13 out of 16. But now they are sliding again, having lost five in a row, including a 4-game sweep at the hands of the first-place Indians.


No. 18  Miami Marlins (30-27)

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Jose Fernandez leads team with 2.9 WAR.
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Rob Foldy/Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 20

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 83

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 18.3%

Odds to win the World Series: 45/1

One thing to know: Veteran third baseman Martin Prado could be expendable with the emergence of Derek Dietrich, writes Barry Jackson.


No. 17  Tampa Bay Rays (26-30)

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Evan Longoria leads team with 2.3 WAR.
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Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 12

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 83

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 22.4%

Odds to win the World Series: 60/1

One thing to know: Marc Topkin writes that it is time for the Rays to move or demote outfielder Desmond Jennings who has been a huge disappointment.


No. 16  Detroit Tigers (29-28)

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Ian Kinsler leads team with 2.1 WAR.
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Dave Reginek/Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 12

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 83

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 22.4%

Odds to win the World Series: 35/1

One thing to know: Brad Ausmus is in the final year of his contract as manager of the Tigers and there is speculation that he won’t be back next season.


No. 15  Houston Astros (28-31)

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Jose Altuve leads team with 3.0 WAR.
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Bob Levey/Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 19

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 83

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 29.2%

Odds to win the World Series: 30/1

One thing to know: Former All-Star Carlos Gomez has been a huge disappointment since being acquired in a trade from the Brewers in 2015. He has hit .215 with just 5 home runs in 80 games with the Astros.


No. 14  Chicago White Sox (29-28)

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Jose Quintana leads team with 2.8 WAR.
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Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 4

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 81

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 33.7%

Odds to win the World Series: 30/1

One thing to know: The White Sox got a steal in trading for James Shields. Not only did they add a solid No. 3 starting pitcher who will eat a ton of innings, it will also only cost them $27 million for the next 2.5 seasons, a bargain for a good starting pitcher.


No. 13  Pittsburgh Pirates (30-26)

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Gregory Polanco leads team with 2.4 WAR.
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Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 9

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 85

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 26.5%

Odds to win the World Series: 35/1

One thing to know: Pirates pitcher Ryan Vogelsong had surgery to repair facial fractures after being hit in the face with a pitch. It was a scary scene that could have been a lot worse. It is unclear when he will be able to return.


No. 12  Baltimore Orioles (33-23)

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Manny Machado leads team with 3.2 WAR.
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Patrick Smith/Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 15

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 85

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 32.3%

Odds to win the World Series: 17/1

One thing to know: Hyun Soo Kim, who was nearly released by the Orioles before his first season in the big leagues even started, is on fire, hitting .377 while sitting against lefties.


No. 11  Toronto Blue Jays (31-28)

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Josh Donaldson leads team with 2.0 WAR.
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Rob Carr/Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 13

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 85

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 46.3%

Odds to win the World Series: 18/1

One thing to know: If the Blue Jays fall off the pace a bit, Jose Bautista is a big name that could be traded in July. He will be a free agent after the season and it seems like the two sides are far apart on any potential extension.


No. 10  St. Louis Cardinals (30-27)

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Matt Carpenter leads team with 2.1 WAR.
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Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 16

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 86

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 38.2%

Odds to win the World Series: 50/1

One thing to know: Nick Cafardo speculates that the Cardinals are one team that could go after Jose Bautista if he is made available.


No. 9  Seattle Mariners (31-26)

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Robinson Cano leads team with 2.5 WAR.
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Christian Petersen/Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 7

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 85

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 54.4%

Odds to win the World Series: 20/1

One thing to know: Felix Hernandez is on the DL with a sore calf and it now looks like his absence could be extended.


No. 8  Texas Rangers (35-22)

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Ian Desmond leads team with 2.1 WAR.
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Jason Miller/Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 16

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 86

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 67.4%

Odds to win the World Series: 16/1

One thing to know: Former top prospect Jurickson Profar has yet to stick in the big leagues. However, he has hit well since being promoted two weeks ago, collecting 17 hits in his first 10 games of the season.


No. 7  San Francisco Giants (35-24)

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Johnny Cueto leads team with 2.5 WAR.
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Bart Young/Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 10

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 91

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 68.2%

Odds to win the World Series: 6/1

One thing to know: With Hunter Pence out with a torn hamstring, the early speculation is that the Giants will sign Carl Crawford once he is released.


No. 6  Los Angeles Dodgers (31-28)

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Clayton Kershaw leads team with 4.2 WAR.
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Jeff Chiu/AP

Ranking one month ago: 5

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 89

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 76.0%

Odds to win the World Series: 20/1

One thing to know: The Dodgers have cut ties with Carl Crawford, placing him on waivers with the expectation that he will be released once he clears. The Dodgers will be responsible for the $35 million remaining on the 7-year, $142 million contract he originally signed with the Red Sox.


No. 5  New York Mets (31-24)

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Noah Syndergaard leads team with 2.9 WAR.
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Seth Wenig/AP

Ranking one month ago: 2

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 90

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 77.6%

Odds to win the World Series: 12/1

One thing to know: David Wright has a herniated disk in his neck. There are no immediate plans for surgery, but it still might an option. That means his return is very much up in the air.


No. 4  Boston Red Sox (33-24)

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Xander Bogaerts leads team with 3.1 WAR.
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Adam Glanzman/Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 6

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 91

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 75.3%

Odds to win the World Series: 9/1

One thing to know: The Red Sox have a championship offense, but still have some glaring holes in the rotation. Boston was reportedly interested in adding James Shields before he was sent to the White Sox. So look for the Red Sox to trade for at least one starting pitcher in the coming weeks.


No. 3  Cleveland Indians (32-24)

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Francisco Lindor leads team with 2.7 WAR.
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Kirk Irwin/Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 8

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 89

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 85.4%

Odds to win the World Series: 20/1

One thing to know: Veteran Marlon Byrd was recently suspended for 162 games after testing positive for testosterone.


No. 2  Washington Nationals (34-23)

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Daniel Murphy leads team with 2.7 WAR.
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Joe Robbins/Getty Images

Ranking one month ago: 3

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 92

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 87.3%

Odds to win the World Series: 11/1

One thing to know: If the Yankees do decide to trade one or more of their relievers, look for the Nationals to be interested since they still have Jonathan Papelbon in the closer role.


No. 1  Chicago Cubs (40-16)

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Dexter Fowler leads team with 3.2 WAR.
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Dylan Buell/Getty Image

Ranking one month ago: 1

Projected wins (Fangraphs): 103

Chances to make playoffs (PECOTA): 99.6%

Odds to win the World Series: 2.5/1

One thing to know: The Cubs are another team that could go after Jose Bautista if he is made available. They are the heavy favorite to win the World Series and they may want to add a little offensive insurance.


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